A variety of new patterns of industrial development--from the export-led growth of the Republic of Korea and Taiwan to the more inward-oriented growth of Colombia and Turkey--has emerged in the postwar period. This book provides an examination of these patterns. Applying a common analytical framework to the postwar experiences of nine industrializing economies, the authors determine the sources of industrialization and the relations between industry and agriculture. From this analysis, they derive three main patterns of industrialization, along with the policy implications of these patterns. The authors consider topics ranging from typical patterns of transformation and the methodology of multisector comparative analysis to statistical analysis of growth in semi-industrial countries, concluding with an overview of development strategy that analyzes alternative routes to development and suggests a synthesis of growth and structure.

Industrialization and Growth: A Comparative Study (A World Bank Research Publication)

Business & Money

Chenery, Hollis

Robinson, Sherman

Syrquin, Moshe

Economics

Oxford University Press

xviii 520p black cloth with gilt lettering to front and spine, a fresh and tight copy,

General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy

Dervis, Kemal

Kemal

Melo, Jaime De

Cambridge University Press

General Equilibrium Models for Development Policy (World Bank Research Publication)

This book was undertaken at a pivotal time in the region. The weak summer monsoon in 2009 created drought conditions throughout Pakistan. This followed an already tenuous situation for many rural households faced with high fuel and fertilizer costs and the impacts of rising global food prices. Then catastrophic monsoon flooding in 2010 affected over 20 million people, devastating their housing, infrastructure, and crops. Damages from this single flood event were estimated at US$10 billion, half of which were losses in the agriculture sector. Notwithstanding the debate as to whether these observed extremes are evidence of climate change, an investigation is needed regarding the extent to which the country is resilient to these shocks. It is thus timely, if not critical, to focus on climate risks for water, agriculture, and food security in the Indus Basin in Pakistan. This study uses several different modeling environments including hydrologic models, an agro-economic optimization model of the irrigation system, and a computable general equilibrium model of the Pakistan economy. The models used here are among the best mathematical representations available of the physical and economic responses to these exogenous future climate risks. The integrated systems framework used in this analysis provides a broad and unique approach to estimating the hydrologic and crop impacts of climate change risks, the macro-economic and household-level responses and an effective method for assessing a variety of adaptation investments and policies. A better understanding of how these sectors are linked will help plan future investments in these sectors. Further collection and analysis of critical input and output observations (e.g. snow and ice data) as well as practical measures for improving productivity under a changing climate will enhance this integrated framework methodology and future climate impact assessments. Continued refinements to the assessment approach developed in this volume will further help to sharpen critical policies and interventions by the Pakistan government.

The Indus Basin of Pakistan: The Impacts of Climate Risks on Water and Agriculture (Directions in Development - Countries and Regions)

Brown, Casey

Yu, Winston

Yang, Yi-Chen

Savitsky, Andre

Alford, Donald

Wescoat, James

Debowicz, Dario

World Bank Publications

The Asian financial crisis has precipitated significant changes in real exchange rates in the region that will substantially alter the volume and pattern of international trade. The crisis countries will increase their exports and, especially, reduce their imports. Japan, China, and the other non-crisis countries will experience more complex changes. The trade balances of the United States and Western Europe will deteriorate by about $40-50 billion as a result of the currency movements in Asia. This study, newly updated in August 1999, quantifies the impact of the currency changes on the individual countries in Asia, on the United States, on Europe and on other regions on a sector-by-sector basis. It analyzes the additional impact that might occur if China, thus far a relative bystander in the crisis, were to devalue its currency as well. It then examines potential trade policy responses to these developments including the risk of an upsurge in protectionist pressure in the United States.

Global Economic Effects of the Asian Currency Devaluations (Policy Analyses in International Economics)

Noland, Marcus

Liu, Li-Gang

Wang, Zhi

Peterson Institute for International Economics

The purpose of this book is to analyze the effects of developed countries' agricultural policies on developing countries. The main focus is on food security, poverty and other topics such as multifunctionality, biotechnology and regional agreements, as an input to policy reform within the World Trade Organization (WTO) trade negotiations. The book arises from a joint project between the Food and Resource Economics Institute in Denmark and the International Food Policy Research Institute in Washington.

WTO Negotiations and Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The Effect of Developed Countries' Policies on Developing Countries

Diaz-Bonilla, Eugenio

Frandsen, Soren E

International

CABI

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