Against the Day

Literature & Fiction

PYNCHON, Thomas

Contemporary

The Penguin Press

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. No one with any meaningful role in economic decision making in the world saw beforehand the storm for what it was. How had our models so utterly failed us?To answer this question, Alan Greenspan embarked on a rigorous and far-reaching multiyear examination of how Homo economicus predicts the economic future, and how it can predict it better. Economic risk is a fact of life in every realm, from home to business to government at all levels. Whether we’re conscious of it or not, we make wagers on the future virtually every day, one way or another. Very often, however, we’re steering by out-of-date maps, when we’re not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control.The Map and the Territory is nothing less than an effort to update our forecasting conceptual grid. It integrates the history of economic prediction, the new work of behavioral economists, and the fruits of the author’s own remarkable career to offer a thrillingly lucid and empirically based grounding in what we canknow about economic forecasting and what we can’t.The book explores how culture is and isn't destiny and probes what we can predict about the world's biggest looming challenges, from debt and the reform of the welfare state to natural disasters in an age of global warming.No map is the territory, but Greenspan’s approach, grounded in his trademark rigor, wisdom, and unprecedented context, ensures that this particular map will assist in safe journeys down many different roads, traveled by individuals, businesses, and the state.

The Map and the Territory 2.0: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

Business & Money

Greenspan, Alan

Economics

On Beauty

ZADIE SMITH

Genre Fiction

SMITH

Zadie

<p>Here are revealed the stories of the American soldiers who took and appeared in the haunting photographs from Abu Ghraib that shocked the world. Drawing on Errol Morris's interviews both with soldiers who served there and inmates who were held there, Philip Gourevitch has written an account of Iraq's occupation from the inside out.</p>

Standard Operating Procedure: A War Story

History

GOUREVITCH, Philip

Americas

The City of Falling Angels

JOHN BERENDT

Europe

Travel

SMITH, ZADIE

[ [ [ Instant City: Life and Death in Karachi[ INSTANT CITY: LIFE AND DEATH IN KARACHI ] By Inskeep, Steve ( Author )Oct-13-2011 Hardcover [Hardcover] [Jan 01, 2011] Inskeep, Steve

Inskeep, Steve

<p>A developmental psychologist identifies four separate but interdependent types of human thought in a ground-breaking new model of the way the human mind develops from infancy to maturity.</p>

Human Minds: An Exploration

Donaldson, Margaret

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