State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis)

The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis (The Springer Demographic Methods and Population Analysis)

Business & Money

Smith, Stanley K.

Tayman, Jeff

Swanson, David A.

Economics

Springer

State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis

Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers

Jewels for the Journey will inspire you. All of us desire a fulfilled, enriched, and engaged life. We hunger for a life that brings us satisfaction, validates our worth, and give us a sense of purpose. Life, however can be challenging and at times doesn’t turn out as you’ve planned. If not careful, these difficulties can extinguish your passion, rob you of your hope, and steal your dreams. Hardship and difficulties are unavoidable; however the key to your fulfilment in life is not the absence of these challenges, but the successful navigation of them. The Jewels for the journey is a thought provoking, whimsical, funny and at times touching book designed to offer practical insights on everyday difficulties. It challenges the reader to view problems as learning opportunities. Each of our hardships, when overcome, can produce gems of wisdom that are far more valuable than emeralds and rubies. It’s what old folk use to mean when they would say “I wouldn’t take nothing for my journey.” Your passion can be rekindled, your hope restored, and your dreams fulfilled as you expose Jewels on your Journey.

Jewels for the Journey: Inspiration to help you navigate through life's challenges

Religion & Spirituality

Worship & Devotion

CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform

This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, 37)

Politics & Social Sciences

Social Sciences

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Books by Smith, Stanley K.