<p>This scarce antiquarian book is a facsimile reprint of the original. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment for protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature in affordable, high quality, modern editions that are true to the original work.</p>

Institution Of The Society Of The Cincinnati: Formed By The Officers Of The American Army Of The Revolution, 1783 (1886)

Literature & Fiction

Schuyler, John

United States

Kessinger Publishing

Superseded by the 3.0 edition, April 2014. This is another update of Paul Newendorp's 1975 best-seller, which became the standard reference in the field. This book introduces the reader to ways of applying risk and decision analysis to petroleum exploration investment decisions under uncertainty. Topics covered in the book represent a composite of evaluation practices and problem-solving approaches now commonly-used in the industry. Several important and practical concepts were first published in the first edition. Decision analysis methods apply to any type of business investment decision. The emphasis here is on quantitative methods useful in petroleum exploration decisions. This will be of special interest to anyone involved in the evaluation of property acquisitions, geophysical surveys, prospect drilling, and field development decisions. Ths books is for petroleum geologists, engineers, geophysicists, evaluation and planning analysts, and managers. A mathematics or statistics background is not required to follow the practical, applications-oriented discussions. First is a review of the advantages and disadvantages of various profitability criteria used for selecting and comparing drilling prospects. The important expected value (EV) concept is next introduced. Expected monetary value (EMV = EV net present value) is the principal decision criterion used in most examples. The EV calculation incorporates judgments about risks and uncertainties expressed as probabilities and probability distributions. EV is the cornerstone of formal, quantitative analysis for decisions under uncertainty. The key calculation methods are decision trees and Monte Carlo simulation. Small decision trees can be solved with a hand calculator, while larger trees and Monte Carlo simulation usually require a computer. Software supporting these methods is now widely available as Microsoft® Excel spreadsheet add-ins and for other platforms. Much of the book is devoted to problem framing, decision modeling, and decision policy (including risk policy as a utility function). Throughout, real-world exploration examples are presented to illustrate the risk and decision analysis methods. This revised edition, 2.1, features an updated and expanded bibliography and an extensive glossary.

Decision Analysis for Petroleum Exploration: 2.1 Edition

Business & Money

Newendorp, Paul

Insurance

Planning Press

Institution of the Society of the Cincinnati: Formed by the Officers of the American Army of the Revolution, 1783, with Extracts, from the Proceedings ... Transactions of the New York State Society

History

Americas

Nabu Press

This scarce antiquarian book is a facsimile reprint of the original. Due to its age, it may contain imperfections such as marks, notations, marginalia and flawed pages. Because we believe this work is culturally important, we have made it available as part of our commitment for protecting, preserving, and promoting the world's literature in affordable, high quality, modern editions that are true to the original work.

Biographies & Memoirs

Historical

This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

Institution of the Society of the Cincinnati: Formed by the Officers of the American Army of the Revolution, 1783, With Extracts, From the Proceedings ... Transactions of the New York State Society

Literary

Arkose Press

<p>Introduces principles of risk and decision analysis as they apply to project management, outlining strategies for effective decision-making while sharing insights into such areas as the typical inaccuracies of single point estimates and knowing when sufficient analysis has been performed to identify a best alternative.</p>

Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects

Project Management Inst

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