The 1988 cult classic behind football's data analytics revolution, now back in print with a new foreword and preface. Data analytics have revolutionized football. With play sheets informed by advanced statistical analysis, today's coaches pass more, kick less, and go for more two-point or fourth-down conversions than ever before. In 1988, sportswriters Bob Carroll, Pete Palmer, and John Thorn proposed just this style of play in The Hidden Game of Football, but at the time baffled readers scoffed at such a heartless approach to the game. Football was the ultimate team sport and unlike baseball could not be reduced to pure probabilities. Nevertheless, the book developed a cult following among analysts who, inspired by its unorthodox methods, went on to develop the core metrics of football analytics used today: win probability, expected points, QBR, and more. With a new preface by Thorn and Palmer and a new foreword by Football Outsiders's Aaron Schatz, The Hidden Game of Football remains an essential resource for armchair coaches, fantasy managers, and fans of all stripes.

The Hidden Game of Football: A Revolutionary Approach to the Game and Its Statistics

Humor & Entertainment

THORN, John

Carroll, Bob

Schatz, Aaron

Palmer, Pete

Puzzles & Games

University of Chicago Press

For the over 14 million people who play fantasy football every year; for the hardcore fan who wants information beyond sports page recaps; for everyone who bets on the NFL; and for the smart, casual enthusiast looking for entertainment and insight comes the essential preseason annual. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Pro Football Prospectus assesses the DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) of every single skill player and determines how many points better a starting player is over the average bench player; measures special teams; offers advanced offensive line statistics; analyzes teams’ abilities to convert draft picks into quality players; and much more. And like its sister publication, Baseball Prospectus, it’s written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America’s most popular spectator sport. Compared by The New York Times Magazine to Bill James, the baseball statistics guru, Aaron Schatz is revolutionizing the world of football statistics. In just two years his Web site, FootballOutsiders.com, is “by a huge margin, the Web’s best independent football site,” writes Gregg Easterbrook of NFL.com. Salon calls it “a must for anyone interested in going beyond ‘This guy has more yards, so he must be better.’” Now Schatz and his team of Football Outsiders are continuing their groundbreaking work with a comprehensive, authoritative book of sophisticated statistical analysis. It also offers solid predictions: in 2004, the Outsiders predicted six of eight division winners, including the Steelers’ champion season; the fading year of Ahman Green and Jamal Lewis; and the breakout of the New York Jets.

Pro Football Prospectus 2005: Statistics, Analysis, and Insight for the Information Age

Staff of FootballOutsiders.com

Workman Publishing Company

Drawn from the groundbreaking intelligence at FootballOutsiders.com, the braintrust that, according to Salon.com, picked more correct playoff teams in the last two years than any other group of experts, here is the essential annual that features:
<ul>
 • Pioneering team and player ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal true contributions to success. • Unique statistical toolbox and game charting data (unavailable in standard NFL stats) such as which receivers run the longest patterns on both complete and incomplete passes; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team’s passing game, measuring pass coverage rather than just tackles. • Exclusive 2006 Predictions and odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender…or a contender for the top pick in the 2007 draft. • In-depth essays on blitzing effectiveness, which coaches are most aggressive on fourth downs, how playoff workload affects a running back’s career, forecasting fantasy team defense numbers as accurately as those for offensive players, and a revolutionary new method for projecting young quarterbacks based on college statistics.</ul>

Pro Football Prospectus 2006: Statistics, Analysis, and Insight for the Information Age

The most authoritative and innovative annual guide to both the NFL and college football is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of the top 50 college football teams for 2019. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2019 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. 
<ul>
<li>Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.</li> <li>Exclusive data from our partners at Sports Info Solutions, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch or play best under pressure; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.</li>
<li>Data on how receivers performed based on where they lined up before the snap: wide, tight, in the slot, or in the backfield.</li>
<li>Detailed information on each team's performance in 2018 by offensive and defensive personnel package.</li> <li>Detailed individual stats for offensive linemen and defensive players.</li> <li>Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2018 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes.</li> <li>Exclusive 2019 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2020 draft.</li> <li>2019 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.</li> <li>Breakdowns on the top 50 college football teams and full win-loss projections for all 130 Division I-A (FBS) teams.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
“Football Outsiders Almanac will not only make you a better fantasy owner, it will make you a smarter football fan.” -- Matthew Berry, ESPN.com</li> <li>
"A book that any self-respecting NFL fan needs to purchase." -- Bill Simmons, The Ringer.com</li> <li>
"Football Outsiders has now built a system that has some serious traction behind it. I personally find it fascinating." -- John Schneider, General Manager, Seattle Seahawks</li> <li>
"Exhausting, enlightening, surprising in many cases, and an absolute must-read if you like the NFL. -- Peter King, NBC Sports</li>
<li>
"It's important for you, the working football fan, to know more about football than other football fans. The Football Outsiders Almanac will give you all the background knowledge you need to make your football-watching companions feel uninformed and inadequate." -- Drew Magary, Deadspin.com</li>
<li>
"Football is a nearly impossible game for even its most devout practitioners to understand. Football Outsiders is the best way I know to make it make sense." -- Will Leitch, New York Magazine</li>
</ul>

Football Outsiders Almanac 2019: The Essential Guide to the 2019 NFL and College Football Seasons

Reference

Potter, Andrew

McCown, Rivers

Tanier, Mike

Verhei, Vincent

Weintraub, Robert

Bassinger, Thomas

Gower, Tom

Klassen, Derrik

Knowles, Bryan

Encyclopedias & Subject Guides

Independently published

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus 2009") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor --plus new expanded college football content. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of every team from the six BCS conferences plus the top independent and mid-major college football teams.

Football Outsiders Almanac 2009: The Essential Guide to the 2009 NFL and College Football Seasons

Sports & Outdoors

Moore, Bill

Farrar, Doug

Carroll, Will

Connelly, Bill

Fremeau, Brian

Alamar, Benjamin

McCormick, Sean

Barnwell, Bill

Macey, Ned

Football (American)

CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of every team from the six BCS conferences plus the top independent and mid-major college football teams. New research topics include the development of college quarterbacks, running back consistency at the goal line, and a projection system for which college sack artists will be NFL stars or busts.

Football Outsiders Almanac 2010: The Essential Guide to the 2010 NFL and College Football Seasons

Gardner, David

Forster, Nathan

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of every team from the six BCS conferences plus the top independent and mid-major college football teams. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2012 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. 
<ul>
<li>Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.</li> <li>Exclusive data from the Football Outsiders Game Charting Project, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which receivers run the longest patterns on both complete and incomplete passes; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.</li> <li>NEW FOR 2012: Detailed information on each team's performance in 2011 by offensive and defensive personnel package.</li> <li>Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2012 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes.</li> <li>Exclusive 2012 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2013 draft.</li> <li>2012 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.</li> <li>Breakdowns on more than 75 different college football teams and full win-loss projections for all 124 Division I-A (FBS) teams.</li> <li>New research on the meaning of defensive momentum and the intersection between workload and injury for running backs.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
"A book that any self-respecting NFL fan needs to purchase." -- Bill Simmons, GRANTLAND.com</li> <li>
"Football Outsiders has now built a system that has some serious traction behind it. I personally find it fascinating." -- John Schneider, General Manager, Seattle Seahawks</li> <li>
"The most accurate insight into why teams really win and lose." -- Jim Schwartz, head coach of the Detroit Lions</li>
</ul>
NOTE: Due to an issue with the print process, we were unable to include the Fantasy Appendix in this year's book. For a list of the top 240 fantasy projections for 2012 in order, please forward your receipt e-mail (from Amazon or Createspace) to info-at-footballoutsiders.com.

Football Outsiders Almanac 2012: The Essential Guide to the 2012 NFL and College Football Seasons

Tuccitto, Danny

Verhei, Vince

Benoit, Andy

Hinton, Matt

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of every team from the six BCS conferences plus the top independent and mid-major college football teams. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2013 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. 
<ul>
<li>Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.</li> <li>Exclusive data from the Football Outsiders Game Charting Project, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which running backs face the most men in the box; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.</li> <li>Detailed information on each team's performance in 2012 by offensive and defensive personnel package.</li> <li>NEW FOR 2013: Detailed individual stats for offensive linemen.</li> <li>Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2012 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes.</li> <li>Exclusive 2013 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2014 draft.</li> <li>2013 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.</li> <li>Breakdowns on more than 75 different college football teams and full win-loss projections for all 125 Division I-A (FBS) teams.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
"A book that any self-respecting NFL fan needs to purchase." -- Bill Simmons, GRANTLAND.com</li> <li>
"Football Outsiders has now built a system that has some serious traction behind it. I personally find it fascinating." -- John Schneider, General Manager, Seattle Seahawks</li> <li>
"The most accurate insight into why teams really win and lose." -- Jim Schwartz, head coach of the Detroit Lions</li>
</ul>

Football Outsiders Almanac 2013: The Essential Guide to the 2013 NFL and College Football Seasons

McIntyre, Brian

Stuart, Chase

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of every team from the five major college football conferences plus the top independent and mid-major college teams. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2014 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. 
<ul>
<li>Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.</li> <li>Exclusive data from the Football Outsiders Game Charting Project, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which running backs face the most men in the box; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.</li> <li>Detailed information on each team's performance in 2013 by offensive and defensive personnel package.</li> <li>Detailed individual stats for offensive linemen and defensive players.</li> <li>Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2013 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes.</li> <li>Exclusive 2014 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2015 draft.</li> <li>2014 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.</li> <li>Breakdowns on more than 60 different college football teams and full win-loss projections for all 128 Division I-A (FBS) teams.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>"A book that any self-respecting NFL fan needs to purchase." -- Bill Simmons, GRANTLAND.com</li> <li>"Football Outsiders has now built a system that has some serious traction behind it. I personally find it fascinating." -- John Schneider, General Manager, Seattle Seahawks</li> <li>"Exhausting, enlightening, surprising in many cases, and an absolute must-read if you like the NFL. -- Peter King, Sports Illustrated</li>
</ul>

Football Outsiders Almanac 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 NFL and College Football Seasons

Kacsmar, Scott

Lisk, Jason

The most authoritative and innovative guide to professional football (previously known as "Pro Football Prospectus") is back for an all-new season with more cutting-edge statistical analysis, obsessive film study, and trademark humor. Includes comprehensive coverage of all 32 NFL teams, analysis of offseason personnel changes, over 500 KUBIAK fantasy football projections, and breakdowns of the top 50 college football teams for 2015. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Football Outsiders Almanac 2015 gives NFL fans the kind of sabermetric-like statistical analysis that revolutionized the fan's understanding of baseball. It's also written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. 
<ul>
<li>Groundbreaking team and player DVOA ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal which offenses and defenses are truly superior, and which players really help win games.</li> <li>Exclusive data from the Football Outsiders Game Charting Project, unavailable in standard NFL stats, tells you which running backs face the most men in the box; which quarterbacks benefit the most from yards after catch; which teams most often blitz or run specific offensive formations; and which defensive backs stop the other team's passing game, measured by pass coverage on every single play rather than just tackles.</li> <li>Detailed information on each team's performance in 2014 by offensive and defensive personnel package.</li> <li>Detailed individual stats for offensive linemen and defensive players.</li> <li>Extensive coverage of all 32 teams with week-by-week stats from the 2014 season, five-year performance trends, and analysis of off-season personnel changes.</li> <li>Exclusive 2015 predictions that give the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender ... or a contender for the top pick in the 2016 draft.</li> <li>2015 fantasy football projections for more than 500 skill position players based on the KUBIAK forecasting system.</li> <li>Breakdowns on the top 50 college football teams and full win-loss projections for all 128 Division I-A (FBS) teams.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>
"A book that any self-respecting NFL fan needs to purchase." -- Bill Simmons, formerly of GRANTLAND.com</li> <li>
"Football Outsiders has now built a system that has some serious traction behind it. I personally find it fascinating." -- John Schneider, General Manager, Seattle Seahawks</li> <li>
"Exhausting, enlightening, surprising in many cases, and an absolute must-read if you like the NFL. -- Peter King, Sports Illustrated</li> <li>
"It's important for you, the working football fan, to know more about football than other football fans. The Football Outsiders Almanac will give you all the background knowledge you need to make your football-watching companions feel uninformed and inadequate." -- Drew Magary, Deadspin.com</li> <li>
"Football is a nearly impossible game for even its most devout practitioners to understand. Football Outsiders is the best way I know to make it make sense." -- Will Leitch, New York Magazine/SportsonEarth.com</li>
</ul>

Football Outsiders Almanac 2015: The Essential Guide to the 2015 NFL and College Football Seasons

Peltier, Chad

Price, Christopher

Fahey, Cian

Healy, Andrew

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