Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition, and today's security environment demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats. This analysis of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on a range of historical examples from World War I through Somalia in the early 1990s to inform escalation related decisionmaking.

Dangerous Thresholds: Managing Escalation in the 21st Century

Morgan, Forrest E.

Legal Theory & Systems

RAND Corporation

The authors exposit likely developments in Pakistan's internal and external security environment over the coming decade; assess Pakistan's national will and capacity to solve its problems, especially those relating to security; describe U.S. interests in Pakistan; and suggest policies for the U.S. government to pursue in order to secure those interests.

Pakistan: Can the United States Secure an Insecure State? (Rand Corporation Monograph)

History

Asia

A Rand study analyzed trends in the development of Chinese and U.S. military capabilities in two scenarios (centered on Taiwan and the Spratly Islands) and multiple types of operations from 1996 to 2017.

The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power

Libicki, Martin C.

Hagen, Jeff

DeLuca, Paul

Heginbotham, Eric

Nixon, Michael

Heim, Jacob L.

Li, Sheng

Engstrom, Jeffrey

Shlapak, David A.

Frelinger, David R.

Laird, Burgess

Brady, Kyle

Morris, Lyle J.

China’s approach to nuclear deterrence has been broadly consistent since its first test in 1964, but it has recently accelerated nuclear force modernization. China’s strategic environment is likely to grow more complex, and nuclear constituencies are gaining a larger bureaucratic voice. Beijing is unlikely to change official nuclear policies but will probably increase emphasis on nuclear deterrence and may adjust the definition of key concepts.

China’s Evolving Nuclear Deterrent: Major Drivers and Issues for the United States

Chase, Michael S.

Lin, Bonny

Twomey, Christopher P.

Garafola, Cristina L.

Cozad, Mark R.

Berkowitz, Samuel K.

Living the Martial Way: A Manual for the Way a Modern Warrior Should Think

A step-by-step approach to applying the Japanese warrior's mind set to martial training and daily life.

Sports & Outdoors

Individual Sports

UNKNO

Barricade Books

They call themselves Keepers of the Covenant, the Illuminati, God's one true Church. Believed to be wiped out in the 4th century, they survived in secret and spread around the globe, ultimately becoming rich and powerful, manipulating governments and influencing world events from behind the scenes. Owen Powell is the Arbiter, the ultimate authority and enforcer in disputes between the Covenant’s 12 Great Houses. A former U.S. Army Ranger and intelligence officer, extensively trained in the martial arts and educated in the best universities, he was carefully groomed to be one of the most powerful men in the world. The problem is he doesn’t know it because his father was murdered before passing on the family legacy. At the dawn of the third millennium, Covenant leaders meet to discuss an ominous prophecy. The Arbiter will wake and the fate of humankind will hinge on a choice he will have to make. Two women, both brilliant and beautiful, are out to win Powell’s love. One of them wants him to become the great man she knows he can be, the other wants to steal the source of his greatness. As Powell learns of his legacy, Covenant factions vie to bend him to their own designs. Little do they know the perils they face when they wake the Snow Leopard.

Waking the Snow Leopard

Mystery, Thriller & Suspense

Mystery

Wexford Point Publishing

As the U.S. National Defense Strategy recognizes, the United States is currently locked in a great-power competition with Russia. This report seeks to define areas where the United States can compete to its own advantage. It examines Russian vulnerabilities and anxieties; analyzes potential policy options to exploit them; and assesses the associated benefits, costs, and risks, as well as the likelihood of successful implementation.

Extending Russia: Competing from Advantageous Ground

Frederick, Bryan

Chandler, Nathan

Cohen, Raphael S.

Geist, Edward

Shatz, Howard J.

Williams, Brent

Americas

Who will the United States fight against and who will fight with it? Where will these future conflicts be fought? What will future conflicts look like? How will they be fought? And why will the United States go to war? This report is the overview in a series that seeks to answer these questions about the future of warfare in 2030.

The Future of Warfare in 2030: Project Overview and Conclusions

Han, Eugeniu

Klein, Kurt

Shokh, Yuliya

Efron, Shira

Rhoades, Ashley L.

Military

Military Trends and the Future of Warfare: The Changing Global Environment and Its Implications for the U.S. Air Force

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Books by Morgan, Forrest E.