Disorder erupted in Ukraine in 2014, involving the overthrow of a sitting government, the Russian annexation of the Crimean peninsula, and a violent insurrection, supported by Moscow, in the east of the country. This Adelphi book argues that the crisis has yielded a ruinous outcome, in which all the parties are worse off and international security has deteriorated. This negative-sum scenario resulted from years of zero-sum behaviour on the part of Russia and the West in post-Soviet Eurasia, which the authors rigorously analyse. The rivalry was manageable in the early period after the Cold War, only to become entrenched and bitter a decade later. The upshot has been systematic losses for Russia, the West and the countries caught in between. All the governments involved must recognise that long-standing policies aimed at achieving one-sided advantage have reached a dead end, Charap and Colton argue, and commit to finding mutually acceptable alternatives through patient negotiation.

Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia (Adelphi series)

Charap, Samuel

Colton, Timothy J.

Reference

Routledge

Disorder erupted in Ukraine in 2014, involving the overthrow of a sitting government, the Russian annexation of the Crimean peninsula, and a violent insurrection, supported by Moscow, in the east of the country. This Adelphi book argues that the crisis has yielded a ruinous outcome, in which all the parties are worse off and international security has deteriorated. This negative-sum scenario resulted from years of zero-sum behaviour on the part of Russia and the West in post-Soviet Eurasia, which the authors rigorously analyse. The rivalry was manageable in the early period after the Cold War, only to become entrenched and bitter a decade later. The upshot has been systematic losses for Russia, the West and the countries caught in between. All the governments involved must recognise that long-standing policies aimed at achieving one-sided advantage have reached a dead end, Charap and Colton argue, and commit to finding mutually acceptable alternatives through patient negotiation.

Since 2008 Russia’s military forces have improved, enabling Russian military operations in Crimea, eastern Ukraine, and Syria. Researchers analyze the societal, political, economic, and demographic factors that undergird Russian military power. Based on these factors, they analyze how Russian ground combat capabilities will evolve. The challenge for the U.S. military will be to compete in different regions without provoking escalation.

The Future of the Russian Military: Russia’s Ground Combat Capabilities and Implications for U.S.-Russia Competition

History

Massicot, Dara

Reach, Clint

Han, Eugeniu

Davis, Lynn E.

Radin, Andrew

Migacheva, Katya

Long, Austin

Geist, Edward

MacKenzie, William

Povlock, Matthew

Boston, Scott

Johnston, Trevor

Europe

RAND Corporation

Understanding Russia's grand strategy can help U.S. decisionmakers assess the depth and nature of potential conflicts between Russia and the United States and avoid strategic surprise by better-anticipating Moscow's actions and reactions. The authors of this report review Russia's declared grand strategy, evaluate the extent to which Russian behavior is consistent with stated strategy, and outline implications for the United States.

Russian Grand Strategy: Rhetoric and Reality

Priebe, Miranda

Demus, Alyssa

Stalczynski, Mark

Americas

A New Approach to Conventional Arms Control in Europe: Addressing the Security Challenges of the 21st Century

Drennan, John J.

Lynch, Alice

Paoli, Giacomo Persi

Anticipating Adversary Military Interventions

Kavanagh, Jennifer

Frederick, Bryan

Tabatabai, Ariane

Curriden, Christian

Chandler, Nathan

Heath, Timothy

Asia

Despite Russia?s relatively small global economic footprint, it has engaged in more interventions than any other U.S. competitor since the end of the Cold War. In this report, the authors assess when, where, and why Russia conducts military interventions by analyzing the 25 interventions that Russia has undertaken since 1991, including detailed case studies of the 2008 Russia-Georgia War and Moscow?s involvement in the ongoing Syrian civil war.

Russia's Military Interventions: Patterns, Drivers, and Signposts

Drennan, John

U.S.-Russia strategic stability is based on mutual vulnerability to retaliation, which eliminates the incentive to strike first. Yet the United States has developed capabilities that Moscow fears could be used for a first strike. These threat perceptions have become a significant source of instability. The authors examine the origins of this dynamic and its impact on bilateral stability and evaluate policy changes that could mitigate that impact.

Mitigating Challenges to U.S.-Russia Strategic Stability

Griffith, Luke

Carlson, Brian G.

Anticipating Flashpoints with Russia: Patterns and Drivers

Dunigan, Molly

Chindea, Irina A.

Welch, Jonathan

Shostak, Melissa

Vest, Nathan

Johnson, Grant

Zeigler, Sean M.

Fauerbach, Gregory Weider

Landgraf III, Walter F.

In this study, RAND researchers examined the current role of security cooperation efforts as a tool in the emerging strategic competition among the United States, Russia, and China. In particular, they sought to identify how, where, and to what degree the three major competitors?plus Australia, Japan, India, and several countries in Europe?are using security cooperation.

Security Cooperation in a Strategic Competition

Grill, Beth

Mazarr, Michael J.

Morris, Lyle J.

BLANK, Jonah

Rhoades, Ashley L.

Pezard, Stephanie

Chase, Michael S.

Beauchamp-Mustafaga, Nathan

Grossman, Derek

Thaler, David E.

Shih, Alice

P. Moroney, Jennifer D.

Noyes, Alexander

Walker, Dori

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Books by Charap, Samuel